The lure of quick market gains and financial independence, many times from social media gurus driving luxury cars and traveling the world, tempts countless individuals to dive into financial markets. Often equipped with little more than mere intuition, tips from friends, or even investment advice from the same gurus that have lured them into the Read More
Category: Uncategorized
Macro and Trend Update – April 2025
The global economy and financial markets are about to enter a new world; different from what we have been used to over the past 50 years. It is becoming clear that the new US administration is dead serious about reversing what it sees as US weaknesses: persistent trade deficits, out-of-control government spending, and a sprawling Read More
Regular Market Pullback or Full Bear?
The questions on the minds of most investors is: When will the stock market bounce? and Is this the beginning of a more severe downturn? Several blogs ago, I covered the signs and typical archetype of a stock market top. While we are seeing similar characteristics today, the major challenge for active investors is separating a normal Read More
Asset Clusters
Stock & bond investors miss out on 70% of the diversification available. One of the attractions of trading futures is that the universe of instruments is large and wide. Do you want to trade gold? There is an instrument for that. Oil? Sure. S&P 500? Korean government bonds? The Swiss franc? Oats? Yes, yes, yes, Read More
A US Recession is Imminent
Recessions are rare events. Since 1990, the US economy spent about 10% of the time in a recession and 90% of the time in a recovery or an expansion. Most of the time, investors don’t have to worry about it. About once every 10 years, however, we better watch out. Recessions trigger bad bear markets, Read More