Financial markets operate on the edge of chaos. If prices moved in easily predictable patterns, traders would make money by jumping in front of them. But that would disrupt the pattern, making it useless for prediction. On the other hand, if financial markets were pure noise, there would be no point in investing. Asset prices Read More
Posts by Jakub Rehor - Portfolio Manager
View from Crystal Bay: China’s Impact on Commodity Markets
China’s economy has a major impact on commodity markets and China’s leaders are not afraid to throw their weight around. Right now, we’re witnessing an attempt by China to slow down the rise in commodity prices. Chinese factory price index, released on April 8th, grew by 4.4% year-on-year, well ahead of economists’ estimates of a Read More
View from Crystal Bay: COVID Bingo: Vaccination Roll Out
As the new case counts decline and vaccination numbers march forward in the United States, we can see the end of the coronavirus pandemic on the horizon, at least domestically. A few other countries are also doing well, led by Israel, Seychelles, United Arab Emirates, Bhutan, Chile, the United Kingdom, Serbia, and Hungary. (As an Read More
View from Crystal Bay: Is the Global Trade Cycle Coming Turning a Corner?
Investors aren’t limited to only investing in the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Every week we share the market trends we are following. We are interested in whether the trends in those markets are continuing or if they are experiencing a temporary or complete reversal. When we identify trends, we are only Read More
View from Crystal Bay: “Cash is Trash” What About Bonds?
Ray Dalio is the founder and Chief Investment Officer of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest macro hedge fund with $150 billion in assets under management. His investment letters are treasures that are passed around the investment community and read with avid interest. The latest one (https://www.bridgewater.com/research-and-insights/why-in-the-world-would-you-own-bonds-when) came out on Monday, March 15, and it’s a Read More